August 11, 2022

Covid knowledgeable Professor Peter Collignon has shared a stunning graph displaying why restrictions reminiscent of mask-wearing make little distinction to case numbers.

The graphs compiled from Johns Hopkins College knowledge in contrast the seven day rolling case common in Hong Kong and New Zealand.

Each jurisdictions had been following a Covid-zero coverage with heavy restrictions however have been struck by latest Omicron outbreaks. 

The graphs present case numbers have shot up in each international locations within the final month from zero to three,000 new circumstances per each million folks regardless of a strengthening of face masks and density mandates.

Professor Collignon mentioned this graph (pictured) exhibits masks do little to scale back case numbers in opposition to Omicron but additionally present vaccination is efficient at stopping deaths 

While masks are not mandatory in Australia many people are still choosing to wear them (pictured: Sydney last week)

Whereas masks should not obligatory in Australia many individuals are nonetheless selecting to put on them (pictured: Sydney final week) 

However extra hanging is that the graphs exhibits an enormous distinction in deaths per a million folks – with New Zealand remaining at zero and Hong Kong surging to 12.

‘Masks don’t actually make a distinction to group epidemic curves however they do present some private safety,’ Professor Collignon instructed Day by day Mail Australia.

‘In all probability not as massive a discount (in publicity to an infection) as folks suppose – it’s not an 80 per cent discount, in all probability nearer to 10 per cent.’

Professor Collignon mentioned different restrictions had been simpler. 

‘The largest factor is to satisfy folks outside, a lot greater than carrying a masks. Don’t go to crowded indoor venues.’

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Professor Collignon mentioned whereas vaccines perhaps much less efficient in opposition to Omicron when it comes to catching Covid, the graphs clearly present ‘vaccines are extraordinarily good at stopping extreme sickness – by about 90 per cent’.  

Hong Kong solely has about 30 per cent of individuals over the age of 80 totally vaccinated and this low quantity is what’s inflicting the lethal circumstances, Professor Collignon defined.

On Thursday, Hong Kong’s subway operator, bus firms and one of many metropolis’s largest grocery store chains mentioned they had been decreasing providers amid the worsening outbreak that has seen each day infections explode since early February.

Hong Kong authorities are clinging firmly to their ‘dynamic zero’ coronavirus technique which, like mainland China’s, seeks to curb all outbreaks at any price.

Professor Collignon (pictured) said face masks are very useful before vaccination rates get high but they provide 'less protection than people think' and don't really affect Omicron case totals

Professor Collignon (pictured) mentioned face masks are very helpful earlier than vaccination charges get excessive however they supply ‘much less safety than folks suppose’ and don’t actually have an effect on Omicron case totals 

About 95 per cent of New Zealanders are double jabbed but that figure is only 77 per cent of the Hong Kong population (file image)

About 95 per cent of New Zealanders are double jabbed however that determine is simply 77 per cent of the Hong Kong inhabitants (file picture)  

The worldwide monetary hub’s Transport Division mentioned 98 bus routes might be suspended with operators going through essential manpower shortages.

Hong Kong´s chief on Wednesday mentioned folks’s actions could also be restricted throughout obligatory coronavirus testing this month of all the inhabitants, as well being officers reported a document 55,353 each day infections and over 100 deaths. 

Chief govt of the Chinese language-ruled territory, Carrie Lam, who has seen backlash for not carrying masks at press conferences, mentioned there could be no ‘full’ lockdown that might stop entry and exit from town. 

An aerial view shows a construction site of a new makeshift Covid-19 hospital and isolation facilities at Tsing Yi in Hong Kong

An aerial view exhibits a development web site of a brand new makeshift Covid-19 hospital and isolation amenities at Tsing Yi in Hong Kong

In New Zealand, a rustic of 5 million folks, vaccination charges are at 95 per cent of the eligible inhabitants double vaccinated. Greater than 70 per cent of individuals have had a booster dose.

‘In a inhabitants the place Covid is spreading broadly these over 80 had a 1 in 10 likelihood of getting very, very unwell with no vaccines obtainable, however with vaccines that has dropped to 1 in 200,’ Professor Collignon mentioned. 

Hong Kong now has about 76 per cent of the entire inhabitants totally vaccinated however when Omicron hit, that quantity was a lot decrease.

‘No less than a 3rd of the inhabitants had been unvaccinated, they actually dropped the ball there,’ he provides.

‘When you’ve got zero Covid for some time the difficulty with that’s folks suppose they will maintain it out perpetually, even Australia briefly had that drawback.’

NZ Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern (pictured) has copped backlash against her vaccine mandates with protesters clashing with police outside Wellington Parliament on Wednesday

NZ Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern (pictured) has copped backlash in opposition to her vaccine mandates with protesters clashing with police outdoors Wellington Parliament on Wednesday  

Western Australia, lagging behind the remainder of the nation within the vaccine rollout, now has 95 per cent vaccination however Prof Collignon mentioned opening the border earlier could be ‘harmful’.

‘Restrictions are very helpful earlier than you get these vaccination numbers up.’

‘Hong Kong will get there (to 95 per cent vaccinated) however it takes six weeks to get full safety in order that loss of life fee will go up earlier than that occurs’.

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‘A very powerful factor is to maintain hospitalisation at low numbers and vaccines try this.’